What You Need to Know
Clarity, incentives, and ethics in a world that mistakes noise for knowledge.
The modern world is loud. Dashboards blink, timelines scroll, algorithms shout, and certainty is performed with confidence until reality intervenes.
Progress comes not from knowing everything, but from knowing what matters.
Reality Is Not Your Narrative
Reality runs on physics, economics, biology, and incentives. Narratives are how humans explain outcomes after the fact.
Confuse the two and strategy becomes wishful thinking.
Incentives Shape Outcomes
Systems behave exactly as they are rewarded to behave. When outcomes appear irrational, incentives are usually the missing variable.
Knowledge Compounds
Skills, first principles, and mental models accumulate value. Opinions decay faster than the platforms that promote them.
Technology Amplifies Intent
AI and automation do not create wisdom. They scale whatever intent already exists—good or bad.
Time Is the Real Constraint
Capital can be rebuilt. Infrastructure can be redesigned. Time only moves in one direction.
Ethics Are Load-Bearing
What is tolerated at small scale becomes dangerous at large scale. Values are not decoration—they are structural.
Orientation Beats Certainty
The goal is not to be right forever. The goal is to update faster than the world changes.
